Lufthansa announced a solid outlook for the fourth quarter, with costs falling and bookings strong ahead of the Christmas holiday season.
The company’s total group revenues increased 8 per cent from their prior-year level to EUR 10.3 billion (previous year: EUR 9.5 billion). This made the third quarter the Lufthansa Group’s strongest quarter in its history in revenue terms.
Carsten Spohr, Chairman of the Executive Board and CEO of Deutsche Lufthansa AG, says: “We would like to thank our customers and the employees of the Lufthansa Group for a record summer: With the highest revenue and profit ever achieved in one summer – including an operating profit of 1.5 billion euros in the third quarter alone. All airlines in our Group and Lufthansa Technik contributed to this with double-digit profit margins.
“At the same time, employee satisfaction in our company has improved significantly to the pre-crisis record level. It is paying off for all of us that we have combined our successful multi-airline and multi-hub strategy with strengthening the private travel segment, setting the right strategic course. We have also made significant improvements in operational stability and regularity despite continued challenging conditions. This trend is the basis for meeting our premium and quality standards and those of our customers even more effectively in the future again. Even though the geopolitical situation remains challenging, our booking outlook gives us reason to be positive – not only for a very good Group result this year, but also beyond.”
The Lufthansa Group generated an operating result (Adjusted EBIT) of EUR 1.5 billion in the third quarter, the second-best quarterly result in its history and a 31 per cent improvement compared to the EUR 1.1 billion Adjusted EBIT of the prior-year period. The Adjusted EBIT margin for the third-quarter period amounted to 14.3 percent (previous year: 11.8 percent). Net income for the period increased substantially to EUR 1.2 billion (previous year: EUR 809 million).
All passenger airlines of the Lufthansa Group substantially increased their third-quarter results year-on-year. Their combined Adjusted EBIT for the period amounted to EUR 1.4 billion, a 91 per cent improvement on the prior-year period (previous year: EUR 709 million).
The increase is primarily attributable to a combination of strong demand, higher capacity offered and ongoing high yields. At 25 per cent above the 2019 third-quarter level, yields reached a new record high. Demand for leisure travel remained strong also in the third-quarter period, particularly in the premium segment.
Despite rising costs due to inflation, especially in the areas of fees, personnel and maintenance, unit costs in the third quarter were 0.9 percent below the prior year’s level. This was a significant improvement compared to the second quarter of this year, supported by strict cost management in conjunction with the expansion of the flight program. For the first nine months, unit costs were 2.4 percent above the previous year.
The total third-quarter capacity of the Group’s passenger airlines increased by 13 per cent compared to the prior year period, and amounted to 88 percent of the 2019 pre-crisis level. Over 86 percent of all the seats offered were sold. As a result, the seat load factor for the period remained broadly unchanged compared to the previous year.
Significantly more customers chose to travel onboard one of the Lufthansa Group’s airlines in the third quarter of 2023 compared to the previous year. In total, the Group’s airlines welcomed over 38 million travelers in the July-to-September period (previous year: 33 million). Demand was strong in all traffic regions, and the Lufthansa Group recorded a further internationalization of its customer base. In this year more than 70 percent of all guests started their journey outside Germany.
The global air cargo market continued to normalize in the third quarter. Airfreight revenues were impacted by the challenging macroeconomic environment. Lufthansa Cargo achieved an Adjusted EBIT of EUR 1 million (previous year: EUR 331 million) in a seasonally weak third-quarter period. Cargo rates remained well above their pre-crisis levels, on a similar level compared to the second-quarter period. For the fourth quarter, a slight year-on-year increase in transported volumes is expected.
Lufthansa Technik continued to benefit from the high demand for air travel and the resulting increase in demand among airlines worldwide for maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) services in the third quarter. Lufthansa Technik achieved an Adjusted EBIT of EUR 168 million for the third-quarter period (previous year: EUR 188 million). The previous year’s result had benefited from a more favorable US dollar exchange rate. For the first nine months of the year, the MRO business thus achieved a new record result.
The Lufthansa Group generated an operating free cash flow of EUR 1.2 billion in the third quarter of 2023. After deducting net capital expenditure, primarily for new fuel-efficient aircraft, Adjusted free cash flow for the period amounted to EUR 592 million. The strong operating result and the effects of structural improvements in the management of working capital were key factors in the positive development.
Intercontinental Green Fares
The Lufthansa Group is doing its utmost to make flying more sustainable. The company aims to achieve a neutral CO₂ balance (‘net zero carbon emissions’) by 2050. And by 2030, the Lufthansa Group seeks to halve its net CO₂ emissions compared to their 2019 level through a combination of reduction and offset measures. The Group is providing its customers more and more offers for more sustainable travel.
The Lufthansa Group will be launching a new Green Fares test run on selected intercontinental routes before the end of November. The fares within Europe and to North Africa, which were introduced in February, have now been booked by more than half a million passengers. Green Fares involve offsetting flight-related CO₂ emissions with Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) and high-quality climate protection projects.
The Lufthansa Group expects the demand for air travel to remain strong in the coming months. The very good summer demand has extended into October, and demand for air travel during the Christmas season is strong. Demand for both short-haul and long-haul flights remains high, especially among leisure travelers. In this context, the trend toward more bookings in premium classes, meaning Business Class or First Class, continues.
The Lufthansa Group is expected to increase its capacity in the fourth quarter to around 91 percent of its 2019 level. Bookings for the fourth quarter are currently up by double digits in percentage terms compared to the previous year, even though private travel seasonally accounts for a lower share of traffic than in the summer months. More than 80 pe rcent of the passengers the company expects to carry on board its aircraft in the fourth quarter have already booked their flight or have already flown with the Group’s airlines in October.
The Lufthansa Group expects to achieve a positive operating result also in the fourth quarter of 2023.
For 2024, the company continues to expect an increase of capacity to around 95 percent of pre-crisis levels. The Adjusted EBIT margin is targeted to reach at least 8 percent. According to current delivery schedules, around 30 new aircraft will join the Group’s fleet over the course of the year. Better access to MRO capacities than the rest of the industry through Lufthansa Technik, and the success in recruiting new employees for flight operations provide the company with good preconditions for above-industry-average and profitable growth. Efficiency improvements are expected to support a reduction in unit costs, provided that system-wide operational stability continues to improve, especially in the Group’s home market Germany. Nonetheless, the Company is mindful of geopolitical and macroeconomic risks and will preserve maximum flexibility to adapt its plans if necessary.
